On Thu, 21 Sep 2006 20:33:37 GMT, Jeff Liebermann
<jeffl@comix.santa-cruz.ca.us> wrote in
<i7t5h21i1vivo3c2h40tk69upe01kg41mi@4ax.com>:
>On 20 Sep 2006 18:14:44 -0700, "robert evdo hsdpa kim"
><evdo.hsdpa@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>10 reasons America is WIMAX Challenged
>>http://wimax-coverage.com/wimax-acce...rvice-why.html
>
>You forgot the most important reason. No data-only wireless vendor
>has ever made money (except perhaps for the paging services in their
>best years). Sprint is about to burn $3 billion setting up WiMax.
>Based on a very optimistic estimated uptake of 1 million users, that's
>$3,000 cost per user, not including operating expenses. They usually
>look for a 2 year max payback period, so that's at best $1,500/year
>per user plus subsidized hardware to break even. I don't think so.
I think uptake might well be at least an order of magnitude (10x)
higher. The reason: VoIP over WiMAX. Think dirt cheap "killer app."
;) And the usual amortization period for something like this is at
least double that, bringing the amortized cost down to less then $100
per year. Then there's the additional revenue from things like IPTV.
All in all I personally think Sprint Nextel has made a very good bet.
--
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